2025 NFL Kickoff: Week 2 ATS, ML & Over/Under Forecast for Thursday Game

WAS @ GB Spread: WAS +3 / GB -3  |  Total: 49 (Under)  |  ML lean: GB  | 

Two Super Bowl contenders squaring up in a game that could preview a January rematch. Green Bay rides in hot off a statement win over the rival Lions, 27–13, and looks intent on planting a flag as true contenders. Washington answered with an impressive 21–6 victory over the Giants and looks much improved on defense—especially against the run—while the offense leans into a potential power rushing identity with new playmakers stepping up. Expect a tight, physical game that goes down to the wire.

My read: Packers edge it late — GB 24, WAS 23.

  • ATS Edge: ≈ +3 pts toward WAS (Model Avg Spread ≈ PK vs. market GB -3)
  • Total: Projected 47 vs. line 49 → lean Under
  • Factor snapshot: GB advantages in TO diff, explosives, sacks, coaching; WAS advantages in rush efficiency, EDSR, red-zone TD%.